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The Accuracy Trap

Retail-flooded prediction markets are 10.97× less accurate than sophisticated ones. I proved it across 4,714 markets and built a live detector that flags it in

🏆 2nd PlaceZerveHack2026

What it does

The Accuracy Trap received the 2nd Place award at ZerveHack in 2026. This record was imported automatically; the summary and source check are still pending.

Awards

Source & verification